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Friday, November 19, 2004

W - T - F '04 ?! (part 4)
Berkeley Analysis of Bush's Amazing Florida Victory

The UC Berkeley Quantitative Methods Research Team examined the Florida election results. They argue that the electronic voting machines themselves helped add over 130,000 votes to Bush (and if the votes were actually "taken" from Kerry, that counts for over 260,000 votes). This isn't simply good luck- this is a virtually inarguable indictment, if the data are truly represented. To quote from the Report Summary, "The data show with 99.0% certainty that a county’s use of electronic voting is associated with a disproportionate increase in votes for President Bush."

By the way, income, hispanic ethnicity, and previous voting patterns were controlled for in this analysis. We're running out of confounding factors to explain this curiosity.

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