The DavidCyrus Blog of Wisdom

Bush States the Obvious, and Seals the Case Against Himself
This one even beats the "I Lie" video

Hundreds of tons of explosives have been lost from a single location in Iraq. Rather than admit that mistakes have been made, President Bush responds by suggesting that the weapons were never there; at least not under his watch.

Are people so gullible to believe that Saddam Hussein had massive supplies of weapons, and instead of using them, he hid them just as the Iraq war started? Isn't that a bit like burying the car keys just before you leave for a Sunday drive?

Kerry jumps on the issue, and demands that Bush explain why the explosives were lost. Bush, in what may be the clearest example of ironic rebuttal to date, says,

"A political candidate who jumps to conclusions without knowing the facts is not the person you want as the commander in chief."

For once, I couldn't agree more.

More Sobering Election Commentary & Electoral Map
This one doesn't look as rosy

A different website (RealClear Politics) that provides commentary, predicted electoral votes, and an electoral voting map shows portray Bush leading in electoral votes, and Kerry needing to win nearly all battleground states, including Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan. It also suggests a trend of states that were leaning toward Kerry suddenly becoming toss-ups for either candidate.

Now, granted, this is a conservatively partisan website; you only need to examine their homepage, which includes commentary such as, "Democrats for Bush", "The Myth of the Disenfranchised" and "John Kerry Would Sacrifice Israel" (note: this article requires registration with the Washington Post).

However, the electoral maps make it clear that Kerry needs the toss-up states of Florida, Ohio, and Michigan to lock up the election. ...and Florida voting results are going to be close.

Electoral Voting Map
Two weeks to go, and it's looking good!

An article that details the electoral vote outcome, if the election were held October 19, portray a narrow win for John Kerry! This is great news for Democrats:
(1) The election is two short weeks away, and Kerry seems to be in a general upswing in his support.
(2) Polls (especially this year) are almost certainly underrepresenting the final Democratic totals. Remember in 2000, polls predicted a G. W. Bush trouncing of Gore, with anywhere from a 3 - 5% popular vote majority, and a guaranteed majority of the Florida votes. Recounts and records proved otherwise.

DavidCyrus @ Dr. Chuckles

It's been officially rescheduled. I'll be performing a ten-minute routine (still not yet fully defined) at Dr. Chuckles Comedy Club, this Saturday at 8:00 pm, at the Palm Bay location (City Limits, in the Brevard Bowling Center).


See you there- and remember to laugh, especially when no one else is!

O'Reilly's Self Destruction...
...So perfectly distracting, now I'm getting suspicious.

An opinion piece out of New Jersey captures the current story on O'Reilly and his court battles. To quote the article, "...he [O'Reilly] confirmed his status as the raging bull of cable news -- a super-macho drama queen bashing his head against the wall of a jail cell he built himself, and grooving on the pain."

I'm awarding Bonus Points to this article, for skewering Ann Coulter along with Bill.

So, why am I suspicious? This debacle for O'Reilly is such a welcome roadside wreck for liberals, I fear that it may distract them from the current priority. Remember- there's a presidential election at stake in short order; now isn't the time to guffaw at the buffoonery of far-right icons. Even knowing this, it's hard for me (example: this blog note) not to rubberneck this event. As the article also states, "You know you should turn away, but you can't, because if you do, you might miss an even more spectacular disaster."

I worry that this whole thing is a distraction cooked up by O'Reilly himself, in concert with a faithful double-agent intern. We all get focused on this little "situation" and suddenly wake up in November, having forgotten to vote, and Bush is still President.

Making it Easy for Doonesbury Readers

The October 14th Doonesbury comic strip lists another "Honest Voice" website- this time it's U.S. Representative Doug Bereuter (Republican) voicing his view on Iraq. But Gary Trudeau supplied a link to a website that probably has been overrun with the traffic from his strip, which also happened to a recently-mentioned union leader's website.

Here's a different page that covers the Representative Bereuter story.

O'Reilly's Fair and Balanced Comeuppance

Anybody who ever watched his show could see this coming a mile away. His arrogant self-righteous attitude and condecending tone toward opponents, (but a strangely docile and quasi-flirtatous coy with anyone wearing a skirt) screamed the hidden truth; that he was a misogynistic chauvinist who you would never trust in a roomful of female interns. Bill O'Reilly, host of "The O'Reilly Factor" and loud-n-proud thumper of his own particular brand of the Good Book and conservative principles, has been accused of sexual harrassment by a woman over 20 years younger than him.

The dirty details of the accusations are plentiful, and include a sex fantasy of his that begins with forcing his fantasy partner to get drunk, even if this required intravenous injection. Why not just pop a Roofie into her drink, you old romantic, Bill?

Here's one you don't see everyday...

Michael Jackson is bidding on EBay for a bottle that supposedly has an Irish ghost trapped in it. Read the article...

Election Backstretch- (are they really neck-&-neck?)

We've been through two presidential and one vice presidential debates. No credible evaluators rated Bush or Cheney as winners in any of them. Current poll numbers show the race as a statistical tie. I'd have to agree with the critique that Kerry blew key opportunities in the 2nd debate, particularly by not emphasizing how President Bush seems incapable of admitting fault.

What could swing the vote at this point? The race is so close, the final tally could depend on the influences brought on by partisan efforts (reference the 5-10% drop in Kerry support due to Swift Boat Veterans for Truth) A win for Bush could be guaranteed by the confirmed capture or killing of Osama Bin Laden. Likewise, a subpoena of Dick Cheney for corporate fraud or an actual indictment could drop the Bush/Cheney ticket off the map.

I'm not expecting an October surprise. Polls will waver around the 45-to-55% midrange for both candidates, but as the election approaches, which camp will be able to rally their voters to actually turn out on election day? Republicans have historically been champions of bringing out the vote, however, if ever there was a motivation for Democrats to vote, now is the time. Theoretically, they simply have to motivate a number of voters equal to the 2000 election. The guy with less votes can't keep winning, can he?

Election Prediction: Kerry popular vote rises dramatically in the final week prior to Election Day.

Final percentages:
Kerry - 57%
Bush - 42%
Nader - 1%